Why and how the Jubilee will disintegrate

I will start by confessing that I’m one avid movie fan and not even Hollywood and bollywood combined can quench my thirst for a good story. One of my favorite all time movies is “Lord of the Rings” in a nut shell the story line is about a special ring whose holder suddenly gets supernatural powers and it is for this reason that it must be kept away from evil men who can use it for their evil schemes. There are many villains in the movie who must not get a hold of the ring but besides them are good people who believe they want the ring so they can do good but only until they get a hold of it do they realize what they are really capable of, perhaps worse than the evil men. To cut a long story short, this analogy reminds me of the coveted “house on the hill” which aptly represents the ring, the number of evil men after it are many and so are some good ones, at least on the surface. The desire to be the ring holder is very strong beyond imagination and when anyone gets close to getting it, that desire brings out the worst in the best of men.

The jubilee alliance was built on quicksand and if what we read in the daily news is anything to go by then it will surely crumble before March 4th 2013.Uhuru Kenyatta might have very well out of desperation and desire to meet the dec 4th deadline accepted to concede the coveted seat to his peer and DPM counterpart Musalia Mudadavadi but after sleeping on it and consulting widely he realized that this thing is too good to just throw in the towel. That my friends is the reason why the NDC was cancelled and no amount of spin can change that fact.UK is not stupid, ill give him that; he knows darn well that once he is seen to cower from the two horse race then his political career will be over like salt in water .He knows that he will be reduced to contest a mere MP's seat after posturing like the president in waiting for the last 10 or so months. He knows that ambitious leaders in his back yard are baying for his political blood and pounce they will. I’m sure the good DPM also understands that TNA which is barely 1year old will be just another one of the many political parties in
In Central his clout will be diminished because settling for a position that is not even guaranteed like that of a leader of majority is too risky ,besides this is a man who was once Leader of opposition, a position that at one time was held by none other than the great general himself . Once Uhuru is out of the statehouse race TNA can no longer hope to win all parliamentary seats in Mt Kenya, parties like GNU and Mbas will have a field day receiving disgruntled defectors from TNA .Not having a presidential candidate will also result in a very low voter turnout in this region.Mr Kenyatta understands this facts and that is why we should expect a 360 degree about turn come “super” Tuesday.

Mr “Johhny come late” aka Mudavadi ,can not just move in to a homestead that has already been built and expect to sleep in the master bedroom with the bride or can he? Uhuruto have invested billions of shillings and plenty of man hours in this thing and they are not about to incur major losses, both are astute businessmen. My hunch is these two not-so gentle men would rather loose the executive wing of government all-together but maintain a strong footing in parliament than risk loosing both. Long knives are already sharpened and ready to finish Mr. Kenyatta, politically that is , as soon as he “steps down” from the battle. Another question is can Musalia have the international clout and acumen to bring the ICC cases back to Kenya especially having a deputy who is a suspect in the same court?