The season of serious politico is here and the gloves are officially off ,foes have embraced each other in the un-holiest of unions and some are running around like headless chicken. Alliance is the new catch phrase and if I count the number of times I have heard that word and someone offered me a penny for every instance, I would probably have retired by now. Back to matters politics ,we now know that the two horse race that RAO spoke of is coming to pass and the major antagonists are jubilee alliance and the CORD .One Mr Musalia Mudavadi has been promised a free pass nomination or so he thinks ,if this happens then we will have another go-lucky, easy going, likable uncle sort of a fence sitting president .The man has never started anything on his own ,he first jumped in to politics when he was elected in mlolongo elections unopposed riding on the crest of his late father ,appointed as minister at a mere twenty seven he has no public service record to write home about.Some have opined that there will be free and fair nominations in the jubilee alliance to pick the flag bearer and Mudavadis men would like us to believe that he can actually beat UK fair and square. I'm not a fan of math but Mudavadi does not have the numbers to beat Uhuru ,it is that simple .Look at the regional point men and women in the alliance and ask your self who are they aligned with?,delegates come to Kasarani (read-Kisirani) to endorse decisions that have already been made ,money is poured before they board that bus to Nairobi and they understand the consequences of voting against the party owners wishes. For starters the largest number of delegates will be from RV which which will carry 720 delegates(each party 20 delegates from 12counties) ,next will be NE with 420 ,then Eastern ,Central and Nyanza will tie at 360 each ,then Western and Coast at 300each and lastly Nairobi at 20.Care fully look at this numbers and evaluate Mudavadi and UK then analyze how much work/investment they have put to popularize themselves in these counties or regions ,look at the Point-men/women and who they are likely to align with because let us face it this is a matter of “money or the box?”.
In a truly free and fair nomination Musalia stands a snowball chance in hell to beat UK and the only way he can become the jubilee flag bearer is by UK handing it to him in a silver platter(something he is no stranger to).By doing this CORD will get a life line and declare him a state house project until that tag sticks and we all know how projects end if 2002 is anything to go by.On the flip side if UK’s arrogance prevails then the ICC stick will be ready to subdue him back to farming or whatever it is he likes to do in Gatundu. Either way the Jubilee nomination goes on the 18 of Dec,CORD will find a strong message to convince Kenyans why not to Vote for jubilee puppets or crimes against humanity suspects.Lastly if Mudavadi carries the day and bags the jubilee flag then naturally the big question will not be how he won but rather , whose project is he? , Uhuru’s project? Or Kibaki’s Project? That will be the billion dollar question.
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